{"id":3500,"date":"2012-11-28T12:56:37","date_gmt":"2012-11-28T10:56:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/?p=3500"},"modified":"2012-11-28T12:59:10","modified_gmt":"2012-11-28T10:59:10","slug":"source-of-confusion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/2012\/11\/28\/source-of-confusion\/","title":{"rendered":"Source of confusion"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The\u00a0<a title=\"Monty Hall problem\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Monty_Hall_problem#Sources_of_confusion\">Sources of confusion<\/a>\u00a0section has this confusing sentence: &#8221;However, if a player believes that sticking and switching are equally successful and therefore randomizes their strategy, they should, in fact, win 50% of the time, reinforcing their original belief.&#8221; It could be just due to English not being my native language, but I read that as going against the entire point of the paradox: that the player somehow suddenly has the intuitive 50\/50 odds of winning at their last choice, should they simply choose to\u00a0<em>believe<\/em>\u00a0it so. I suggest that this be mended or expanded to better express whatever it is that it&#8217;s supposed to mean.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This seems to claim that the player should have the intuitive 50\/50 odds of winning at their last choice, simply if they choose to believe it so.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3925],"tags":[1109],"class_list":["post-3500","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-wikit","tag-kieli","sijainti-wikipedia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3500","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3500"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3500\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3504,"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3500\/revisions\/3504"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3500"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3500"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mummila.net\/kommentit\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3500"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}